The Sudanese Public Opinion Monitoring Platform
The results of the Sudanese public opinion poll on popular choices for
the prime minister for the transitional period
From August 1
to August 10, 2022, the Sudanese Public Opinion Monitoring Platform launched a
survey to read public opinion trends about the public's preferred choice for
the premiership of the transitional period in the event of reaching a political
solution that ends the current coup situation.
The
questionnaire included a question about the age group, and geographical area of
each participant, in addition to presenting 14 proposed names (their order
appears randomly in the poll for each participant) in addition to the
possibility of suggesting other names. The options presented included: Abdullah
Hamdok, Mudawi Ibrahim, Yasser Arman, Siddiq Al-Sadiq Al-Mahdi, Al-Shafei
Khader, Al-Hadi Idris, Sedqi Kablo, Taha Ishaq Othman, Heba Muhammad Ali,
Yasser Abbas, Omar Al-Daqeer, Mubarak Ardol, Madani Abbas, Nasr Al-Din Abdel-Bari.
2243
participated in the survey, which was distributed electronically through the
use of Google Forms. Data was cleaned by removing responses that contained
incomprehensible writings that were not related to the context of the questions,
or contained spelling errors that made it difficult to understand the answer. The
cleaning also adopted the threshold of at least 4 to be included in the
statistical analysis. The threshold of 4 votes was chosen as it was lowest
number of votes obtained by one of the original options presented in the
questionnaire. After cleaning the information, the number of participants that was included in the statistical analysis was (2094).
The geographical distribution of the participants came with the majority of participants from Khartoum with 54.4%, then participants from outside Sudan with 18.58%, then the states of Central Sudan (Al-Jazeera, White Nile, Sennar) with 9.84%, then the states of Eastern Sudan with 4.35%, then the states of Northern Sudan (Northern, River Nile) ) by 4.06%, then Darfur states (North, Central, South, West, or East Darfur) with 3.96%, then Kordofan states (North, West and South Kordofan) with 3.63%, and finally the Blue Nile region with 1.15%.
The age distribution of the participants was as follows: Most of the participants from the age group 31 to 45 years were 43.31%, followed by the age group 18 to 30 years with a percentage of 23.93%, then 46 to 60 years at a percentage of 21.2% and finally the age group older than 60 years with a percentage of 11.56%.
25 candidates for the prime minister position won the threshold to enter the statistical analysis, led by former Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok with 66.78% of the votes, then Sudanese Congress Party Chairperson Omar Al-Digair with 6.69% of the votes, followed by El-Shafi`e Khider with 3.49% of the votes, them the leader in Umma Party, Sadiq al-Sadiq al-Mahdi, with 3.01% of the votes, and then former Minister of Justice Nasr al-Din Abdel Bari with 2.92% of the votes. The table below reflects the percentages and votes obtained by the candidates.
|
The Candidate |
Percentage |
Votes |
|
1. Abdullah
Hamdouk |
66.78% |
1397 |
|
2. Omar
Al- Daqeer |
6.69% |
140 |
|
3. El-Shafi’e Khider |
3.49% |
73 |
|
4. Sadiq
al-Mahdi's friend |
3.01% |
63 |
|
5. Nasr
El-Din Abdel Bari |
2.92% |
61 |
|
6. Ibrahim
Al-Badawy |
2.39% |
50 |
|
7. Yasser
Arman |
2.20% |
46 |
|
8. Mudawi
Ibrahim |
2.01% |
42 |
|
9. Yasser
Abbas |
1.86% |
39 |
|
10. Madani
Abbas |
1.24% |
26 |
|
11. Sedgi Kablo |
1.10% |
23 |
|
12. Amgad Fareid |
0.91% |
19 |
|
13. Mubarak
Ardol |
0.86% |
18 |
|
14. Mohamed
Elfaki Suleiman |
0.72% |
15 |
|
15. Heba
Muhammad Ali |
0.72% |
15 |
|
16. Ibrahim
Ghandour |
0.53% |
11 |
|
17. Mohamed
Eltaher Ella |
0.48% |
10 |
|
18. Khaled
Omar Yousif |
0.43% |
9 |
|
19. Hajj
Warraq |
0.33% |
7 |
|
20. Taha
Ishaq Osman |
0.33% |
7 |
|
21. Osman ZouelNun |
0.24% |
5 |
|
22. Hadi
Idriss |
0.19% |
4 |
|
23. Alwaleed
Adam Madbo |
0.19% |
4 |
|
24. Awad
Allah Muhammad Issa Ahmad |
0.19% |
4 |
|
25. Hisham
Shams El Din |
0.19% |
4 |
|
Total |
100.00% |
2092 |
The voting by age group was as follows:
In the age
group 18 to 30 years, Abdullah Hamdouk received the majority of votes with
71.06%, followed by Omar Al-Degair with 5.79%, then Siddiq Al-Sadiq Al-Mahdi
with 2.59%, then Nasr Al-Din Abdel-Bari with 2.4%, then Muhammad Al-Faki
Suleiman, Mudawi Ibrahim , Yasser Abbas and Yasser Arman with 1.8% for each.
|
Candidates
for the age group 18 to 30 years |
Votes |
Percentage |
|
Abdullah Hamdouk |
356 |
71.06% |
|
Omar Al- Daqeer |
29 |
5.79% |
|
Seddig Sadiq al-Mahdi |
13 |
2.59% |
|
Nasr El-Din Abdel Bari |
12 |
2.40% |
|
Mohamed Elfaki Suleiman |
9 |
1.80% |
|
Mudawi Ibrahim |
9 |
1.80% |
|
Yasser Abbas |
9 |
1.80% |
|
Yasser Arman |
9 |
1.80% |
|
Mubarak Ardol |
7 |
1.40% |
|
Ibrahim Al-Badawy |
6 |
1.20% |
|
Shafee Khadr |
6 |
1.20% |
|
Sedgi Kablo |
6 |
1.20% |
|
Ibrahim Ghandour |
5 |
1.00% |
|
Othman Zul-Nun |
5 |
1.00% |
|
Heba Muhammad Ali |
5 |
1.00% |
|
Hajj Warraq |
4 |
0.80% |
|
Amgad Fareid |
3 |
0.60% |
|
Taha Ishaq Othman |
2 |
0.40% |
|
Hisham Shams El Din |
2 |
0.40% |
|
Hadi Idriss |
1 |
0.20% |
|
Khaled Omar Youssef |
1 |
0.20% |
|
Mohamed Eltaher Ella |
1 |
0.20% |
|
Madani Abbas |
1 |
0.20% |
|
Total |
501 |
100.00% |
In the age
group from 31 to 45 years, Abdullah Hamdouk received the majority of votes with
66.3%, followed by Omar Al-Daqir with 6.08%, then Shafee Khader with 6.08%,
then Nasreddin Abdel Bari with 3.65%, and Ibrahim Al-Badawi with 2.65%.
|
Candidates for age group 31 to 45
years |
Votes |
Percentage |
|
Abdullah Hamdouk |
600 |
66.30% |
|
Omar Al- Daqeer |
55 |
6.08% |
|
Shafee Khadr |
34 |
3.76% |
|
Nasr El-Din Abdel Bari |
33 |
3.65% |
|
Ibrahim Al-Badawy |
24 |
2.65% |
|
Yasser Abbas |
21 |
2.32% |
|
Yasser Arman |
20 |
2.21% |
|
Mudawi Ibrahim |
19 |
2.10% |
|
Sadiq al-Mahdi's friend |
15th |
1.66% |
|
Madani Abbas |
13 |
1.44% |
|
Sedki Kablo |
11 |
1.22% |
|
Amjad Farid |
10 |
1.10% |
|
Mubarak Ardol |
8 |
0.88% |
|
Heba Muhammad Ali |
7 |
0.77% |
|
Ibrahim Ghandour |
5 |
0.55% |
|
Mohamed Eltaher Ella |
5 |
0.55% |
|
Khaled Omar Youssef |
4 |
0.44% |
|
Taha Ishaq Othman |
4 |
0.44% |
|
Awad Allah Muhammad Issa Ahmad |
4 |
0.44% |
|
Mohamed Elfaki Suleiman |
4 |
0.44% |
|
Hajj Warraq |
3 |
0.33% |
|
Hadi Idriss |
2 |
0.22% |
|
Alwaleed Adam Madbo |
2 |
0.22% |
|
Hisham Shams El Din |
2 |
0.22% |
|
Total |
905 |
100.00% |
In the age
group of 46 to 60 years, Abdullah Hamdouk topped the candidates with 60.14%,
followed by Omar Al-Degair with 8.56%, then Siddiq Al-Sadiq Al-Mahdi with
6.53%, then Ibrahim Al-Badawi with 4.28%, then Al-Shafi`e Khedir with 3.83%.
|
Votes |
Percentage |
Candidates for the age group 46 to 60
years |
|
267 |
60.14% |
Abdullah Hamdouk |
|
38 |
8.56% |
Omar Al- Daqeer |
|
29 |
6.53% |
Seddig El-Sadiq al-Mahdi |
|
19 |
4.28% |
Ibrahim Al-Badawy |
|
17 |
3.83% |
Shafee Khadr |
|
13 |
2.93% |
Nasr El-Din Abdel
Bari |
|
12 |
2.70% |
Mudawi Ibrahim |
|
11 |
2.48% |
Yasser Arman |
|
9 |
2.03% |
Madani Abbas |
|
6 |
1.35% |
Yasser Abbas |
|
5 |
1.13% |
Amgad Fareid |
|
4 |
0.90% |
Mohamed Eltaher
Ella |
|
3 |
0.68% |
Mubarak Ardol |
|
2 |
0.45% |
Khaled Omar Youssef |
|
2 |
0.45% |
Sedgi Kablo |
|
2 |
0.45% |
Mohamed Elfaki
Suleiman |
|
2 |
0.45% |
Heba Muhammad Ali |
|
1 |
0.23% |
Hadi Idriss |
|
1 |
0.23% |
Alwaleed Adam Madbo |
|
1 |
0.23% |
Taha Ishaq Othman |
|
444 |
100% |
total |
In the age
group over 60 years old, Abdullah Hamdouk received the majority of votes with
71.9%, followed by Omar Al-Degair with 7.44%, then Shafee Khader with 6.61%,
then Siddiq Al-Sadiq Al-Mahdi and Yasser Arman with 2.48% each.
|
Candaidates for the age group above 60 years |
Votes |
Percentage |
|
Abdullah Hamdouk |
174 |
71.90% |
|
Omar Al- Daqeer |
18 |
7.44% |
|
Shafe’i Khedir |
16 |
6.61% |
|
Seddig El-Sadiq al-Mahdi |
6 |
2.48% |
|
Yasser Arman |
6 |
2.48% |
|
Sedgi Kablo |
4 |
1.65% |
|
Madani Abbas |
3 |
1.24% |
|
Nasr El-Din Abdel Bari |
3 |
1.24% |
|
Yasser Abbas |
3 |
1.24% |
|
Khalid Omar Yousif |
2 |
0.83% |
|
Mudawi Ibrahim |
2 |
0.83% |
|
Ibrahim Al-Badawi |
1 |
0.41% |
|
Ibrahim Ghandour |
1 |
0.41% |
|
Alwaleed Adam Madbo |
1 |
0.41% |
|
Amgad Fareid |
1 |
0.41% |
|
Heba Muhammad Ali |
1 |
0.41% |
|
Total |
242 |
100.00% |
Voting by
geographic area was as follows:
In Khartoum,
most of the participants chose Abdullah Hamdok for prime minister with a
percentage of 69.86%, followed by Omar Al-Daqir with 6.15%, Nasr El-Din Abdel
Bari and Yasser Arman with 2.72% for each, then Siddiq Al-Sadiq Al-Mahdi with
2.55%.
|
Khartoum |
Votes |
Percentage |
|
Abdullah Hamdouk |
795 |
69.86% |
|
Omar Al- Daqeer |
70 |
6.15% |
|
Nasr El-Din Abdel Bari |
31 |
2.72% |
|
Yasser Arman |
31 |
2.72% |
|
Sadiq al-Mahdi's friend |
29 |
2.55% |
|
Mudawi Ibrahim |
25 |
2.20% |
|
Shafee Khadr |
23 |
2.02% |
|
Yasser Abbas |
22 |
1.93% |
|
Ibrahim Al-Badawy |
19 |
1.67% |
|
Madani Abbas |
18 |
1.58% |
|
Sedki Kablo |
13 |
1.14% |
|
Mubarak Ardol |
13 |
1.14% |
|
Heba Muhammad Ali |
9 |
0.79% |
|
Mohamed Eltaher Ella |
7 |
0.62% |
|
Ibrahim Ghandour |
4 |
0.35% |
|
Hajj Warraq |
4 |
0.35% |
|
Khaled Omar
Youssef |
4 |
0.35% |
|
Awad Allah Muhammad Issa Ahmad |
4 |
0.35% |
|
Mohamed Elfaki Suleiman |
4 |
0.35% |
|
Hisham Shams El Din |
4 |
0.35% |
|
Taha Ishaq Othman |
3 |
0.26% |
|
Othman Dhul-Nun |
3 |
0.26% |
|
Hadi Idriss |
1 |
0.09% |
|
Alwaleed Adam Madbo |
1 |
0.09% |
|
Amgad Fareid |
1 |
0.09% |
|
Total |
1138 |
100.00% |
In the Blue
Nile, Abdullah Hamdok received the majority of votes with 41.67%, then
Al-Shafei Khader with 25%, then Ibrahim Al-Badawi with 8.33%, while the rest of
the candidates from the region who included (Amjad Farid, Muhammad Al-Faki
Suleiman, Nasr Al-Din Abdel-Bari, Heba Muhammad Ali, Yasser Abbas, Yasser
Arman) with the percentage of 4.17%.
|
Blue Nile |
Votes |
Percentage |
|
Abdullah Hamdouk |
10 |
41.67% |
|
Shafi’e Khedir |
6 |
25.00% |
|
Ibrahim Al-Badawy |
2 |
8.33% |
|
Amjad Farid |
1 |
4.17% |
|
Mohamed Elfaki Suleiman |
1 |
4.17% |
|
Nasr El-Din Abdel Bari |
1 |
4.17% |
|
Heba Muhammad Ali |
1 |
4.17% |
|
Yasser Abbas |
1 |
4.17% |
|
Yasser Arman |
1 |
4.17% |
|
Total |
24 |
100.00% |
In the states
of Darfur, Abdullah Hamdok received the majority of votes with 55.42%, followed
by Shafi’e Khader with 12.05% of the vote, Nasr El-Din Abdel Bari with 8.43%,
Amgad Fareid with 4.82%, and Omar Al- Degair with 3.61%.
|
Darfur
States (North, Central, South, West, or East Darfur) |
Votes |
Percentages |
|
Abdullah
Hamdok |
46 |
55.42% |
|
Shafi’e Khedir |
10 |
12.05% |
|
Nasr
El-Din Abdel Bari |
7 |
8.43% |
|
Amgad Fareid |
4 |
4.82% |
|
Omar
Al- Daqeer |
3 |
3.61% |
|
Ibrahim
Al-Badawy |
2 |
2.41% |
|
Ibrahim
Ghandour |
2 |
2.41% |
|
Mubarak
Ardol |
2 |
2.41% |
|
Mohamed
Elfaki Suleiman |
2 |
2.41% |
|
Yasser
Arman |
2 |
2.41% |
|
Alwaleed
Adam Madbo |
1 |
1.20% |
|
Heba Muhammad
Ali |
1 |
1.20% |
|
Yasser
Abbas |
1 |
1.20% |
|
Total |
83 |
100.00% |
In the states
of eastern Sudan, Abdullah Hamdok obtained the majority of the vote with
65.93%, followed by Omar Al-Degair with 6.59%, then Shafee Khader and Muhammad
Al-Faki Suleiman with 5.49% each, and Nasr El-Din Abdel Bari with 3.3% of the
vote.
|
Eastern Sudan states (Kassala, Gedaref ,
Red Sea) |
Votes |
Percentage |
|
Abdullah Hamdouk |
60 |
65.93% |
|
Omar Al- Daqeer |
6 |
6.59% |
|
Shafi’e Khedir |
5 |
5.49% |
|
Mohamed Elfaki Suleiman |
5 |
5.49% |
|
Nasr El-Din Abdel Bari |
3 |
3.30% |
|
Ibrahim Ghandour |
2 |
2.20% |
|
Khaled Omar Youssif |
2 |
2.20% |
|
Seddiq El-Sadiq al-Mahdi |
2 |
2.20% |
|
Ibrahim Al-Badawy |
1 |
1.10% |
|
Hadi Idriss |
1 |
1.10% |
|
Sedgi Kablo |
1 |
1.10% |
|
Mubarak Ardol |
1 |
1.10% |
|
Madani Abbas |
1 |
1.10% |
|
Yasser Abbas |
1 |
1.10% |
|
Total |
91 |
100.00% |
In the states
of Northern Sudan, Abdullah Hamdok topped the nominations with 61.18%, followed
by Shafi’ Khader with 5.88%, then Amjad Farid and Omar Al-Daqeer with 4.71%
each, then Mudawi Ibrahim and Nasr Al-Din Abdel Bari with 3.53% each
|
Northern Sudan states (Northern,
River Nile) |
Votes |
Percentage |
|
Abdullah Hamdouk |
52 |
61.18% |
|
Shafi’e Khadr |
5 |
5.88% |
|
Amjad Farid |
4 |
4.71% |
|
Omar Al- Daqeer |
4 |
4.71% |
|
Mudawi Ibrahim |
3 |
3.53% |
|
Nasr El-Din Abdel Bari |
3 |
3.53% |
|
Ibrahim Al-Badawy |
2 |
2.35% |
|
Alwaleed Adam Madbo |
2 |
2.35% |
|
Sedki Kablo |
2 |
2.35% |
|
Mohamed Elfaki Suleiman |
2 |
2.35% |
|
Yasser Arman |
2 |
2.35% |
|
Hajj Warraq |
1 |
1.18% |
|
Seddig El-Sadiq al-Mahdi |
1 |
1.18% |
|
Mohamed Eltaher Ella |
1 |
1.18% |
|
Yasser Abbas |
1 |
1.18% |
|
Total |
85 |
100.00% |
In the states
of Kordofan, Abdullah Hamdok obtained the majority with 52.63%, followed by
Siddiq Al-Sadiq Al-Mahdi with 9.21%, Omar Al-Degair with 7.89%, Ibrahim
Al-Badawi with 6.58%, then Shafee Khader and Amgad Fareid with 5.26% each.
|
Kordofan
states (North, West, and South Kodrofan) |
Vote |
Percentage |
|
Abdullah Hamdouk |
40 |
52.63% |
|
Seddig El-Sadiq al-Mahdi |
7 |
9.21% |
|
Omar Al- Daqeer |
6 |
7.89% |
|
Ibrahim Al-Badawy |
5 |
6.58% |
|
Shafee Khedir |
4 |
5.26% |
|
Amgad Fareid |
4 |
5.26% |
|
Mudawi Ibrahim |
3 |
3.95% |
|
Nasr El-Din Abdel Bari |
2 |
2.63% |
|
Yasser Abbas |
2 |
2.63% |
|
Othman Dhul-Nun |
1 |
1.32% |
|
Madani Abbas |
1 |
1.32% |
|
Yasser Arman |
1 |
1.32% |
|
Total |
76 |
100.00% |
In the states
of central Sudan, Abdullah Hamdok topped the candidates with 63.59% of the
voters, followed by Ibrahim Al-Badawi with 6.8%, then Shafee Khader and Omar
Al-Degair with 6.31% and Seddiq Al-Sadiq Al-Mahdi with 5.34%.
|
Central
Sudan states (Gezira, White Nile, Sennar) |
Vote |
Percentage |
|
Abdullah Hamdouk |
131 |
63.59% |
|
Ibrahim Al-Badawy |
14 |
6.80% |
|
Shafi’e Khedir |
13 |
6.31% |
|
Omar Al- Daqeer |
13 |
6.31% |
|
Seddig El-Sadiq al-Mahdi |
11 |
5.34% |
|
Yasser Abbas |
5 |
2.43% |
|
Sedgi Kablo |
3 |
1.46% |
|
Mudawi Ibrahim |
3 |
1.46% |
|
Amgad Farid |
2 |
0.97% |
|
Khaled Omar Youssif |
2 |
0.97% |
|
Mubarak Ardol |
2 |
0.97% |
|
Yasser Arman |
2 |
0.97% |
|
Ibrahim Ghandour |
1 |
0.49% |
|
Hajj Warraq |
1 |
0.49% |
|
Taha Ishaq Othman |
1 |
0.49% |
|
Madani Abbas |
1 |
0.49% |
|
Nasr El-Din Abdel Bari |
1 |
0.49% |
|
Total |
206 |
100.00% |
From outside Sudan, Abdullah Hamdok topped the candidates with 67.61%,
followed by Omar Al- Degair with 9.77%, then Seddiq Al-Sadiq
Al-Mahdi and Nasr Al-Din Abdel-Bari with 3.34% each, then Mudawi Ibrahim with
2.06%.
|
Outside Sudan |
Vote |
Percentage |
|
Abdullah Hamdouk |
263 |
67.61% |
|
Omar Al- Daqeir |
38 |
9.77% |
|
Seddig Sadiq al-Mahdi |
13 |
3.34% |
|
Nasr El-Din Abdel Bari |
13 |
3.34% |
|
Mudawi Ibrahim |
8 |
2.06% |
|
Shafi’e Khedir |
7 |
1.80% |
|
Yasser Arman |
7 |
1.80% |
|
Yasser Abbas |
6 |
1.54% |
|
Ibrahim Al-Badawy |
5 |
1.29% |
|
Madani Abbas |
5 |
1.29% |
|
Sedgi Kablo |
4 |
1.03% |
|
Heba Muhammad Ali |
4 |
1.03% |
|
Amgad Fareid |
3 |
0.77% |
|
Taha Ishaq Othman |
3 |
0.77% |
|
Ibrahim Ghandour |
2 |
0.51% |
|
Hadi Idriss |
2 |
0.51% |
|
Mohamed Eltaher Ella |
2 |
0.51% |
|
Hajj Warraq |
1 |
0.26% |
|
Khaled Omar Youssif |
1 |
0.26% |
|
Othman Dhul-Nun |
1 |
0.26% |
|
Mohamed Elfaki Suleiman |
1 |
0.26% |
|
Total |
389 |
100.00% |
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